Ibm will it follow the tradition trend

I have been watching Ibm for several years. I have found a consistant trend of this stock dropping 10-15% between aug 5 to sept 30.

since Ibm topped at 129-130 in early august and its down to 122-123 now.

the indicators are that it will follow trend/\.

the second part of the trend is to watch Ibm go up 10% or more between 15 oct to 20 nov.

NOW how do you play this trend on a 100 buck stock

when you only have say 2500 total to spend.

I buy a leap call good till jan 2010

that stock symbol is wibah the 140 strike call good till jan 2010.

I expect to buy around 800 a contract

with 1bm around 111 a share.

Now the difference between me and other people is I will get out when Ibm is 5 bucks higher.

This stock option will increase in value at a rate of 30 cents for every dollar Ibm goes up.

That means a 5 buck uptrend will pay 150 return on an 800 investment

If you spend 2500 you bought 3 contracts.

so you made 450 gross and 420 net if you use a discount broker.

so you make better than 15% in 30 days or less.

thats a decent profit to me.

good luck

Stock Trading ,Trading Agressively to win

Trading stocks aggressively does not mean pushing to the limit or trading every day.

YOU could simply track a trend of a stock and play it accordingly.

I have done this with Ibm and Rgr for years.

Recently, there was a nice drop in the dow from June to July.

I have found this trend with regularity, and you would too if you had tracked the Dow year to year as I have done.

With Ibm I bought the leap put in june wibmb a jan 2010 110 strike stock option.

when Ibm was around 125 I paid around 900 a contract.

at 118 the option was worth around 1000 a contract.

I got out and waited for the bottom.

Then I bought the wibah jan 2010 leap call for about 900 and sold again for about 1000, when Ibm hit 123

At the same time rgr went down to 6.00 a share and I bought 1000 shares.

my sell order was entered for 6.25cents and out, good till cancel.

even though rgr went up to 7.80, IT DID NOT MATTER.

I made my 25cents or 250 gross 220 net again for the 12th time since jan 08.

ie I was up 2700 on a 6-7k investment. or almost 45%. Thats both very agressive as well as conservative and safe, to me.

A day after rgr hit 7.80 it had a 2 buck tank and went to 5.61. And boy was I kicking myself as I was gonna short 500 shares.

but instead I bought my 1000 shares at 579 and got out at 5.99.

and when she pulled back to 5.72, two days later,I bought again and got out 2 days after for 5.97

As of 8/1/08 rgr is at 6 and I am up another 400 and waiting for the next traditional dow drop from mid aug throug late sept.

track my trends back 10 years. SEE IF YOU SEE WHAT I DO.

Good Luck